Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.277654 0.323215 0.374011 0.434865 0.505830 0.586026 0.683613
2025-02-09 0.209925 0.271164 0.346918 0.447645 0.578306 0.742406 0.964726
2025-02-16 0.171422 0.237725 0.325780 0.451547 0.627090 0.864223 1.210300
2025-02-23 0.143369 0.210612 0.305220 0.448455 0.660702 0.965020 1.437110
2025-03-02 0.119962 0.185169 0.281576 0.435056 0.674535 1.036063 1.627397
2025-03-09 0.107930 0.174184 0.276613 0.447243 0.726201 1.167443 1.924683
2025-03-16 0.095907 0.161154 0.266194 0.448531 0.759559 1.272887 2.193340
2025-03-23 0.087314 0.152303 0.260926 0.456834 0.804465 1.401359 2.516347
2025-03-30 0.077240 0.139461 0.247125 0.448297 0.818564 1.478089 2.757806
2025-04-06 0.069367 0.129383 0.236683 0.443987 0.838961 1.567353 3.032559
2025-04-13 0.063306 0.121782 0.229624 0.444708 0.868222 1.675547 3.356410
2025-04-20 0.060500 0.119915 0.232832 0.465095 0.937295 1.866872 3.868219
2025-04-27 0.057692 0.117829 0.235622 0.485543 1.010254 2.077240 4.453402
2025-05-04 0.054342 0.114259 0.235103 0.499331 1.071691 2.272846 5.037342
2025-05-11 0.050421 0.108984 0.230432 0.503705 1.113571 2.432545 5.565290
2025-05-18 0.046230 0.102596 0.222636 0.500249 1.137734 2.556772 6.030532
2025-05-25 0.041561 0.094577 0.210377 0.485273 1.133930 2.618131 6.357815
2025-06-01 0.039597 0.092396 0.210674 0.498894 1.197788 2.841684 7.105564
2025-06-08 0.036928 0.088253 0.206041 0.500334 1.232810 3.001831 7.719554
2025-06-15 0.035029 0.085696 0.204758 0.509615 1.288043 3.217452 8.505396
2025-06-22 0.032130 0.080367 0.196285 0.500072 1.294841 3.313909 8.993255
2025-06-29 0.029785 0.076136 0.189993 0.495255 1.313144 3.441843 9.584485
2025-07-06 0.027955 0.073000 0.186060 0.496060 1.346362 3.612834 10.319952